Last week, we went a perfect 5-for-5 on WNBA props!
So, hopefully this isn’t the comedown.
I really tried to refrain from old tricks, but I saw a couple of props that have done well for me lately, one of which I’m going back to in the Commissioner’s Cup matchup tonight featuring a possible WNBA Finals preview between the Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty.
The other? You’ll see…
Of course, the Aces lost by nearly 40 points the last time these two teams met up and were hardly the only team ever stomped out in Flatbush. But tonight, they get their chance at redemption at home.
Here’s what I’m eyeing in Vegas.
Tuesday, Aug. 15
9 p.m. ET
+100 / -120
+100 / -120
WNBA Player Props Today
A’ja Wilson Under 20.5 Points (+106 Via FanDuel)
Time to play Trap or Trend!
A’ja Wilson’s scoring prop has been mostly money, save for a not-even-close under against the Liberty in the aforementioned whooping. Wilson finished with nine points and was limited to 25 minutes of play because garbage time came early.
Even before that, she shot 2-of-14 in what was her worst performance of the season.
But in totality, Wilson has gone over 20.5 points in each of her three games since and in eight of her last 10.
The Aces beat the Liberty on June 29, and Wilson only had 16 points on 6-of-9 shooting. So, against the Liberty, she’s 0-for-2 on this over this season.
For her career, StatHead says she’s averaging under 17 points per game in matchups against Jonquel Jones and is shooting 42.3% in the 12 games they’ve faced off.
It’s a great revenge spot for Wilson — and I think this is a sweat — but the over feels like a trap. I’m going slightly under.
Sabrina Ionescu Over 5.5 Assists (+100 Via DraftKings)
Plus-odds for one of my favorite overs lately? Sure, I’ll take it.
Sabrina Ionescu has gone over 5.5 dimes in three of four games, including posting seven (with 31 points) against the Aces.
I’m going back to the well here.
Ionescu has had six or more assists in 11 of her last 15 games and has gotten to seven in each of her efforts against the Aces.
The Liberty broke their trend of squandering their winning streak after four games — which has happened consecutive times — to mount a six-game winning streak.
I think they lose tonight, but Ionescu’s playmaking shines once again, at least enough to hit this over.
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